The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Albuquerque issues winter weather products with a "Ready-Set-Go" concept. The "Ready" stage is anywhere from 24 to 72 hours before the impending weather event. During this stage, forecasters may highlight expected adverse winter weather conditions in the Hazardous Weather Outlook,
which is issued daily and the primary product to be used for initial planning. For
rare or extreme winter weather events, a Special Weather Statement will be issued as an outlook. Customers may also get an idea of weather for their area past the 36 to 48 hour timeframe by looking at the extended portion of the Zone Forecast Product. The "Set" stage is 12 to 24 hours before the weather event. If the forecaster feels that there is a good potential for dangerous winter weather conditions, she or he will issue a Winter Storm Watch highlighting the hazards and areas to be affected. Other forecast details can be found by looking at the Zone Forecast and Regional Weather Summary products. Warnings and Advisories are issued during the "Go" stage, which is 6 to 24 hours before the onset of significant winter weather conditions. After warnings and advisories have been issued people can look for Short Term Forecasts, which offer more detail than the Zone Forecast and usually cover the next 2 to 4 hours. To learn more about our winter season products and specific criteria used by NWS Albuquerque forecasters, please click on the links below..
Winter Storm Watch:A
watch is issued to give advance notice when a significant winter
storm may affect your area within 12 to 48 hours. This
would include any combination of significant snow or sleet
accumulation, significant ice accretion, strong winds, extreme
cold, low wind chills, or low visibilities in snow or blowing
snow. A winter storm watch is issued when there is at least a 50/50 chance that warning criteria will be met. Usually the winter storm watch will be upgraded to a warning when the nature and location of the weather event become more apparent. In any case, when a watch is issued for your area, it is time to prepare for severe winter weather.
.
Snow Advisory: A
snow advisory is issued whenever accumulating snows are expected
to cause localized disruption of travel and other significant inconveniences such
as snow covered sidewalks and trails. Hypothermia and cold exposure may be a threat to anyone ill-prepared or too weak to handle the weather. Reasonable care will help one avoid most cold weather injuries or a fatality. A
snow advisory highlights weather conditions that will cause
a significant inconvenience, but if caution is exercised, should
not be life-threatening.
.
Winter
Weather Advisory: When a combination of snow, blowing snow, sleet, freezing rain or freezing drizzle is expected to cause localized disruption of travel and result in a significant inconvenience then
a winter weather advisory will be issued. Whereas a snow advisory strictly pertains to snow, a winter weather advisory addresses multiple winter weather hazards. That is the only difference between the two products. During
the 2004-05 winter season, in lieu of snow advisories,
NWS Albuquerque will issue winter weather advisories to
cover non life-threatening events.
.
Winter Storm Warning: When conditions that can quickly become life threatening and are more serious than an inconvenience are imminent or already occurring, a winter storm warning will be issued. Heavy snows, or a combination of snow, freezing rain or extreme wind chill due to strong wind, may bring widespread or lengthy road closures and hazardous travel conditions, plus threaten temporary loss of community services such as power and water. Deep snow and additional strong wind chill or frostbite may be a threat to even the well dressed individual or to even the strongest person exposed to the frigid weather for only a short period.
.
Heavy Snow Warning: Issued
when only heavy snow will create severe or life-threatening
winter conditions.
.
The tables below relate snow depth to minimum
warning/advisory thresholds based on the information above
and climatology. The
bold numbers represent mid-point
values (rounded up) of the forecasted snow accumulation range
for a given storm event during its entire duration.
Warning
Advisory
<7500 feet [Eastern Plains & Western Valleys]
4 inches
2 inches
>7500 feet [Mountains & Adjacent Highlands]
8 inches
4 inches
.
.
Examples for the Mountains & Adjacent Highlands (near and above 7500 feet):
Snow Accumulation
Mid-point Value
Product
1-3"
2
No Advisory
2-4"
3
No Advisory
2-5"
4
Advisory
3-5"
4
Advisory
3-6" locally up to 10"
7 (range is 3 to 10)
Advisory (high end)
4-8" locally up to 12"
8 (range is 4 to 12)
Warning (low end)
5-10" locally up to 15"
10
Warning
6-12" locally up to 18"
12
Warning (high end)
8-16" locally up to 2 ft.+
16
Warning (high end)
.
Examples for the Eastern Plains & Western Valleys (below 7500 feet):
Snow Accumulation
Mid-point Value
Product
1 inch or less
N/A
No Advisory
1 to 2 inches or 1-3"
2
Advisory
3-5"
4
Warning
.
Blizzard Warning The
most dangerous of all winter storms is the blizzard. In New
Mexico, the northeast highlands and northeast plains
are the most blizzard-prone areas where the deadly combination
of fierce winds and snow can reduce visibility to near zero
and create wind chills well below zero. A blizzard warning
is issued when winds of 35 miles an hour will occur in combination
with considerable falling and/or blowing snow for at least
3 hours. Visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than
1/4 mile and temperatures are usually 20 degrees Fahrenheit
or lower.
.
Ice Storm Warning A
dangerous coating of ice, usually 1/4 inch or more. Ice storms
are rare if not unheard of west of the Rio Grande Valley. However, across eastern New Mexico a mixture of freezing drizzle, freezing rain and light snow is not uncommon whenever arctic air masses invade the plains. In most cases, ice accumulations are less than 1/4 inch and a winter weather advisory is issued.
.
Wind Chill Warning is issued when
the wind chill temperatures at or colder than minus 50 degrees
F. At this level, frostbite can occur on exposed flesh within minutes. As
the wind chill temperature drops, the frostbite time decreases, especially with higher wind speeds.
.
Note: Strong winds, usually blowing from
the northwest or north, often develop in the wake of winter
storms that cross New Mexico. This is especially true
along the east slopes of the Central Mountain Chain and high
plains of central and northeast New Mexico. These strong and
gusty winds can persist hours after the precipitation has ended
creating areas of reduced visibilities in blowing snow.
.
Now that
we've covered all of the details, the important thing to understand
about watches, warnings, and advisories, is that:
a WATCH means it's time to get ready,
an ADVISORY means inconvenience,
and a WARNING means the situation is life-threatening.
...
Frequency of Snow Events
Across New Mexico
> 1
inch snow in the last:
> 2
inches snow in the last:
> 3
inches snow in the last:
> 4
inches snow in the last:
Location
10
years
20
years
30
years
10
years
20
years
30 years
10
years
20
years
30 years
10
years
20
years
30
years
ABQ
Sunport
18
52
89
8
25
49
6
13
17
5
8
11
ABQ
Foothills
87
NA
NA
47
NA
NA
27
NA
NA
15
NA
NA
ABQ
Valley
17
NA
NA
11
NA
NA
8
NA
NA
5
NA
NA
Chama
171
388
657
118
269
470
77
186
326
49
131
223
Deming
4
13
19
3
10
14
0
5
6
0
4
5
Tucumcari
49
90
123
30
53
72
18
32
43
11
21
27
Clovis
33
59
95
20
35
60
12
21
37
8
14
19
Roswell
23
56
NA
13
34
NA
8
17
NA
3
8
NA
Hobbs
3
12
36
2
6
24
1
4
18
0
2
9
Des
Moines
93
NA
NA
50
NA
NA
32
NA
NA
24
NA
NA
Gallup
70
171
NA
42
87
NA
23
44
NQ
14
27
NA
National Weather Service
Albuquerque Weather Forecast Office
2341 Clark Carr LP SE
Albuquerque, NM 87106
Ph: 505.243.0702
Web Master's Email: ABQ Webmaster
Page Author: WFO Albuquerque, NM
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