000
FXUS62 KFFC 041922
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
322 PM EDT FRI JUL 4 2008

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED
ACROSS KY-VA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A LONG-WAVE TROUGH HAS BECOME
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY WITH A SERIES
OF UPPER DISTURBANCES PROGGED TO TRAVERSE THE BASE OVER THE WEEKEND.
MODELS AGREE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NORTH OF THE STATE...
WITH A DEEP MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER
GEORGIA. THE UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL WARRANT HOLDING ONTO AN
ISOLATED SHOWER/TSTM OVERNIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE NORTHERN THIRD OF
THE STATE. HOWEVER...EXPECT THE GREATER CHANCE AND COVERAGE OF
TSTMS TO BE DURING DAYTIME HEATING BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
ALTHOUGH SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...MODERATE INSTABILITIES OF
2000-3000 CAPES AND -3 TO -5 LI'S SUGGEST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
PULSE STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY...WITH A FEW POSSIBLY REACHING
SEVERE LIMITS DURING MAX HEATING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM AFTERNOON
AND EVENING TSTMS WOULD BE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING... STRONG
DOWN-BURST WINDS AND POSSIBLY SOME PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
OTHERWISE...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE WARMER LOWS AND COOLER HIGHS
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A WARM MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN-PLACE...RESULTING
IN DIURNALLY DRIVEN...SCATTERED SUMMERTIME CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THROUGH THE EXTENDED. CURRENT FORECAST HAS GOOD HANDLE
ON THINGS...SO NO CHANGES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
WILL PREVAIL WITH HIGHS NEAR 90 AND LOWS NEAR 70.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO CONCERNS AS A MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW PERSIST...WITH
AFTERNOON RH LEVELS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST
MID NEXT WEEK. EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  89  66  89  68 /  20  50  30  50  30 
ATLANTA         70  87  69  87  69 /  20  40  30  40  30 
BLAIRSVILLE     65  79  59  83  62 /  30  50  20  30  20 
CARTERSVILLE    69  87  65  89  65 /  30  50  20  40  20 
COLUMBUS        72  91  71  91  71 /  20  40  30  50  30 
GAINESVILLE     69  84  66  87  68 /  20  50  30  40  20 
MACON           71  92  69  92  71 /  20  40  30  50  30 
ROME            69  88  66  91  66 /  30  50  20  30  20 
PEACHTREE CITY  67  88  66  87  66 /  20  40  30  40  30 
VIDALIA         73  92  72  91  71 /  20  30  30  50  30 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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