000
FXUS62 KJAX 100230
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
930 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012

.UPDATE...DEEP SW FLOW OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH STRONG
UPPER JET SPREADING ABUNDANT HIGH CLOUDINESS ACROSS N FL AND S GA.
AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE NORTH WITH
INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE FL/GA COAST. 18Z GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW
RAIN BREAKING OUT ALONG THE EAST COAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
UPPER TROUGH NOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE MS
RIVER VALLEY INCREASING LIFT OVER OUR AREA. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS
GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
BROKEN CLOUD DECK NEAR 4KFT IS DEVELOPING FROM GNV TO CRG. WILL
MONITOR AS CIGS MAY REMAIN VFR OVERNIGHT. HAVE PUSHED BACK CHANCE
OF COASTAL SHOWERS UNTIL AFTER 09Z.

&&

.MARINE...
INVERTED TROUGH OFFSHORE HAS CREATED A SURGE ALONG NE FL COAST
WITH WINDS NORTH 18G21KT AT SAUF1 NEAR THE COAST. REMAINING MARINE
OBS ARE NE TO EAST 10-15 KT. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DRIFT WEST AND
WINDS VEER TO SE FRIDAY MORNING. EXPECT SURGE TO RELAX TONIGHT AND
WILL NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN UPDATE.

RIP CURRENTS: RISK EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO MODERATE ON FRIDAY AS
WINDS BECOME MORE ONSHORE. BREAKERS WILL SLOWLY BUILD TO 2-4 FT.
OFFSHORE FLOW ON SAT/SUN WILL REVERT BACK TO LOW RISK OF RIPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  43  68  45  60 /  10  10  30   0 
SSI  52  67  49  61 /  20  30  40  10 
JAX  48  73  50  66 /  10  30  40  10 
SGJ  53  70  53  67 /  20  40  50  20 
GNV  49  75  51  66 /  10  20  40  10 
OCF  52  77  53  68 /  10  30  40  20 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

MZ/MKT/PK