000
FXUS64 KLIX 110434
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1134 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008


.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS
IN GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT EACH TAF SITE SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
WHEN MVFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. 11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008/ 

SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. UPPER LOW OFF THE CAROLINA COAST IS DRIFTING SLOWLY
WESTSOUTHWESTWARD. CUMULUS FIELD OVER THE LANDMASS IS VERY EVIDENT
ON SATELLITE. MIDDAY TEMPERATURES GENERALLY AROUND 80 WITH DEW
POINTS BETWEEN 60 AND 65 IN MOST AREAS.

SHORT TERM...
OVERALL...A QUIET WEEKEND...AS SURFACE FEATURES AFFECTING THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST ARE MOVING VERY SLOWLY. UPPER LOW WILL
GRADUALLY DRIFT INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF AND TRAVEL WESTWARD AS AN
INVERTED TROF. THIS TROF SHOULD MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN WHAT
OCCURRED THIS MORNING...GENERALLY IN THE 60S. EXPECT TEMPERATURES
TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 35

LONG TERM...
AFTER INVERTED TROF MOVES WEST OF THE AREA...UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS
INTO OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. ANY
PRECIPITATION OCCURRING AFTER MONDAY OR TUESDAY WILL BE RATHER
ISOLATED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. 35

AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/
LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE BRINGING IN INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE
SURFACE TO 5000 FEET LAYER AND THIS BASIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANY TEMPO CIGS THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE MOSTLY
ABOVE 3000 FEET...SO ANY LESS THAN VFR CONDITIONS WILL COME FROM
LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG. MOST LIKELY TIME FOR RESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES WILL BE DURING 09-13Z TIME FRAME WHEN WINDS WILL
RANGE FROM NEAR CALM TO LIGHT NORTHEAST WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
NEAR 100 PERCENT. 22

MARINE...
RELATIVELY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY WILL SHIFT EAST AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND 
SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH 
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL GULF COAST 
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY 
INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL 
CRAFT CRITERIA DURING THE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING TIME 
FRAME. 22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  62  85  64  84 /   0  10  10  10 
BTR  64  86  65  85 /   0  10  10  10 
MSY  68  85  70  83 /   0  10  10  10 
GPT  64  83  65  82 /   0  10  10  10 

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$