000
FXUS64 KLZK 111943
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
238 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
AN ABUNDANCE OF CUMULUS CLOUDS DEVELOPED TODAY ACROSS ARKANSAS AS A 
SHORT WAVE MOVED INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE EAST. THE MORNING KLZK 
SOUNDING SHOWS A STRONG CAP NEAR 6K FT HOWEVER. THIS KEPT THE 
VERTICAL EXTENT IN CHECK. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WITH A SOUTHEAST 
WIND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. 
WITH A STRONG LOW OVER THE WEST. BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS...MOISTURE 
WILL BE DRIVEN INTO THE U.S. FROM HURRICANE NORBERT IN THE PACIFIC. 
THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO CANADA MONDAY AND THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT 
WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH TUESDAY. 
 
HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER OVER ARKANSAS 
THROUGH MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY AND 
INTO ARKANSAS TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO FUNNEL IN AHEAD 
OF THE FRONT. SOME OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE FROM HURRICANE 
NORBERT...CAUGHT UP IN THE NORTHEAST FLOW. WILL START PRECIPITATION 
CHANCES IN THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD THEM EAST. ABOVE 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. 
&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY...SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY 
SOUTHWARD AS THE UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE GULF COAST SINKS TO 
THE SOUTH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE FRONT MOVES 
OUT OF THE STATE ON THURSDAY. UPPER TROUGH BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL 
CONUS WILL SEND HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE REGION ON NORTHWESTERLY FLOW 
ALOFT. NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A COOLDOWN BEHIND THE SYSTEM 
THOUGH...AS THE GULF COAST RIDGE RE-EXERTS ITSELF...AND THE SURFACE 
HIGH MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS. 
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     61  80  62  79 /  10  10  10  10 
CAMDEN AR         63  83  64  83 /   0  10  10  10 
HARRISON AR       61  79  61  79 /  10  10  10  10 
HOT SPRINGS AR    63  83  63  81 /   0  10  10  10 
LITTLE ROCK   AR  63  82  63  81 /   0  10  10  10 
MONTICELLO AR     63  83  63  83 /   0  10  10  10 
MOUNT IDA AR      63  83  63  81 /   0  10  10  10 
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  61  79  61  79 /  10  10  10  10 
NEWPORT AR        62  81  63  80 /  10  10  10  10 
PINE BLUFF AR     63  83  63  82 /   0  10  10  10 
RUSSELLVILLE AR   62  81  62  79 /  10  10  10  10 
SEARCY AR         62  81  63  80 /  10  10  10  10 
STUTTGART AR      63  83  63  82 /   0  10  10  10 
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...57