000 FNUS54 KMRX 092013 FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL KEEP US IN A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN LATE FRIDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL START AS RAIN THEN CHANGE TO MOSTLY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 23-28 (0) 43-48 (+7) 25-30 26-31 RH % (24H TREND) 84-89 (-1) 40-45 (-2) 91-96 47-52 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G19 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 LGT/VAR NW 11 G19 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 80 50 PRECIP DURATION 1 5 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.06 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 25 DISPERSION 41 GEN GOOD 47 GEN GOOD REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 23-28 (0) 42-47 (+6) 25-30 26-31 RH % (24H TREND) 82-87 (-3) 40-45 (+1) 87-92 46-51 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 11 G22 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 W 5 NW 13 G22 PRECIP TYPE NONE SLEET/RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 80 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 7 2 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.08 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 NW 29 DISPERSION 26 FAIR 35 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-102115- TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 23-28 (0) 42-47 (+6) 25-30 26-31 RH % (24H TREND) 83-88 (-1) 39-44 (-6) 87-92 43-48 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 LGT/VAR NW 11 G20 PRECIP TYPE NONE SLEET/RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 70 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 2 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.07 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4400 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 25 DISPERSION 26 FAIR 29 FAIR REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 TO 18. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-102115- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 26-31 (+1) 47-52 (+7) 28-33 31-36 RH % (24H TREND) 85-90 (-2) 36-41 (-7) 87-92 40-45 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 9 G18 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 LGT/VAR N 11 G19 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 50 10 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.01 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 4300 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 NW 25 DISPERSION 32 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-102115- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 25-30 (+1) 47-52 (+5) 29-34 31-36 RH % (24H TREND) 91-96 (+5) 36-41 (-5) 90-95 41-46 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 11 G20 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 50 0 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 NW 28 DISPERSION 35 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD MAX LVORI 4 4 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 24-29 (0) 46-51 (+6) 27-32 30-35 RH % (24H TREND) 83-88 (-1) 37-42 (-1) 88-93 42-47 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 9 G18 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 LGT/VAR NW 10 G18 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 60 40 PRECIP DURATION 1 4 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.05 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 NW 24 DISPERSION 38 FAIR 57 GEN GOOD REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 25-30 (0) 46-51 (+5) 28-33 31-36 RH % (24H TREND) 81-86 (-11) 35-40 (-7) 82-87 39-44 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 9 G18 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 10 G18 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 60 20 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 NW 24 DISPERSION 33 FAIR 63 GOOD REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115- CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH- 313 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 /213 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012/ TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 27-32 (+1) 48-53 (+7) 29-34 32-37 RH % (24H TREND) 81-86 (-7) 35-40 (-9) 82-87 37-42 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 9 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 LGT/VAR N 12 G22 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 50 0 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 NW 25 DISPERSION 29 FAIR 68 GOOD REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$