000 FNUS54 KMRX 220950 AAA FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 .DISCUSSION... A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF COAST REGION TODAY AND THEN NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE EAST COAST BY MONDAY. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231100- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (-3) 39-44 (+4) 50-55 RH % (24H TREND) 50-55 (+8) 95-100 (+10) 73-78 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 7 G15 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 5 E 5 SE 5 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 30 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.12 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 3100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 SE 10 DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 9 POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231100- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 50-55 (-3) 39-44 (+6) 48-53 RH % (24H TREND) 55-60 (+11) 95-100 (+5) 78-83 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SE 5 SE 9 G17 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SE 7 E 7 G15 SE 6 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 70 30 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.24 0.03 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 3100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 17 SE 10 DISPERSION 8 POOR 4 VERY POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-231100- GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 47-52 (-5) 40-45 (+6) 48-53 RH % (24H TREND) 69-74 (+27) 95-100 (+3) 80-85 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 30 PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.13 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 3000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 S 3 DISPERSION 3 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-231100- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-8) 42-47 (+7) 51-56 RH % (24H TREND) 74-79 (+36) 95-100 (+2) 77-82 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 80 20 PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.10 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 2800 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 S 7 DISPERSION 6 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-231100- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 42-47 (+8) 52-57 RH % (24H TREND) 78-83 (+43) 95-100 (0) 72-77 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5 PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 80 20 PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.25 0.13 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 2800 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 8 DISPERSION 4 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR MAX LVORI 9 8 REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231100- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (-4) 40-45 (+7) 50-55 RH % (24H TREND) 56-61 (+14) 95-100 (+3) 76-81 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 30 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.13 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 7 DISPERSION 21 FAIR 9 POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231100- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (-6) 42-47 (+6) 51-56 RH % (24H TREND) 63-68 (+21) 94-99 (+4) 72-77 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 30 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.06 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 4 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2800 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 13 S 5 DISPERSION 15 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231100- CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH- 450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 /350 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009/ TODAY TONIGHT MON CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 43-48 (+5) 51-56 RH % (24H TREND) 71-76 (+31) 95-100 (+7) 76-81 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 20 PRECIP DURATION 6 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.05 0.03 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 2 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 S 9 DISPERSION 14 GEN POOR 11 POOR REMARKS...NONE. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$