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[Printable] [Older Versions] 000 FLUS42 KJAX 112156 AAD HWOJAX HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 600 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121000- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 600 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH 8 PM... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH 11 PM... ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH SUNSET WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 MPH ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...AND A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE WINDS AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH SUNSET...AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. $$ ENYEDI/HESS [Printable] [Older Versions]
000
FXUS62 KJAX 120136
AFDJAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
936 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
.UPDATE...COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH EXTREME SE GA IS PRODUCING
A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH IT AND ONE SUPER CELL
OUT AHEAD OF IT THAT RECENTLY MOVED OFFSHORE. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST FLORIDA BY LATE THIS EVE
WITH GUSTY WINDS ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST FLORIDA SO HAVE RAISED POPS
THERE TIL 06Z. AFTER THAT...COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND SKIES WILL
BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR WITH NO POPS. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY AND
WILL LET LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUE UNTIL 11 PM.
&&
.AVIATION...WILL AMEND JAX TAF TO INCLUDE VCTS AND OCNL MVFR FROM
REDUCED CIG/VSBY FROM THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS TIL 06Z.
WILL AMEND CRG TO INCLUDE VCTS AND GUSTY WINDS TO 30 KNOTS TIL
06Z. OTHERWISE MAIN CONCERN TONIGHT WILL BE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
AFTER 06Z AT SSI AND AFTER 09Z AT CRG AND JAX.
&&
.MARINE...COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE BY LATE THIS EVE BRINGING
WITH IT A LINE OF STRONG STORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY PRODUCE
WATERSPOUTS. STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND FRONT AND
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ALL LEGS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 54 80 50 82 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 60 78 56 76 / 30 0 0 0
JAX 57 82 53 80 / 30 0 0 0
SGJ 61 82 58 76 / 0 0 0 0
GNV 59 83 52 85 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 59 83 51 86 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALACHUA-
BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR CLAY-DUVAL-NASSAU-PUTNAM.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-
HAMILTON-MARION-SUWANNEE-UNION.
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR APPLING-
ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-
COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF
DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR APPLING-
ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-
COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF
DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA
TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST
AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT
20 NM.
&&
$$
PP/JH/PK
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions]
000
NWUS52 KJAX 120254
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1053 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 AM HAIL DOCTORTOWN 31.65N 81.83W
05/11/2008 M1.00 INCH WAYNE GA TRAINED SPOTTER
OBERVED BY A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER ON THE WAYNE AND
LONG COUNTY BORDER ALONG THE ALTAMAHA RIVER.
0815 AM TSTM WND DMG AMBROSE 31.59N 83.01W
05/11/2008 COFFEE GA LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN IN THE AMBROSE VICINITY AS REPORTED BY 911
DISPATCH.
0911 AM TSTM WND DMG ODUM 31.67N 82.03W
05/11/2008 WAYNE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS POWER OUTAGES IN ODUM AND
NORTH OF JESUP IN WAYNE COUNTY.
0935 AM TSTM WND DMG JESUP 31.60N 81.89W
05/11/2008 WAYNE GA TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES DOWN ALONG LARRY POPPEL ROAD.
0945 AM HAIL ALMA 31.54N 82.48W
05/11/2008 E0.75 INCH BACON GA TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN ALMA. TREE DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY
32 EAST OF ALMA.
0955 AM TSTM WND DMG PATTERSON 31.38N 82.14W
05/11/2008 PIERCE GA LAW ENFORCEMENT
NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES IN THE PATTERSON METRO AREA.
1151 AM HEAVY RAIN BRUNSWICK 31.14N 81.47W
05/11/2008 U0.00 INCH GLYNN GA EMERGENCY MNGR
WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING. SOME PARTS OF
ROADS BECOMING IMPASSABLE BUT NO ROADS CLOSED AT THIS
TIME.
1218 PM LIGHTNING BLACKSHEAR 31.30N 82.24W
05/11/2008 PIERCE GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
A LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A BRUSH FIRE OFF OF SATILLA
ROAD. FORESTRY CREWS WERE DISPATCHED AND THE BLAZE IS
CONTAINED. THE TIME OF IGNITION IS UNKNOWN.
0155 PM HAIL SCREVEN 31.48N 82.02W
05/11/2008 E1.25 INCH WAYNE GA LAW ENFORCEMENT
0200 PM HAIL GARDI 31.54N 81.80W
05/11/2008 E1.25 INCH WAYNE GA LAW ENFORCEMENT
0212 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 NNE WAYNESVILLE 31.32N 81.75W
05/11/2008 BRANTLEY GA EMERGENCY MNGR
PART OF HOUSE ROOF WAS DAMAGED. ONE SHED WAS DESTROYED. 2
TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. LOCATION OF DAMAGE WAS NEAR
HIGHWAY 32 EAST OF BROWNTOWN ROAD.
0226 PM HAIL HAZLEHURST 31.87N 82.60W
05/11/2008 M1.00 INCH JEFF DAVIS GA LAW ENFORCEMENT
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN HAZLEHURST BY JEFF DAVIS
COUNTY 911.
0230 PM HAIL 6 N BAXLEY 31.85N 82.35W
05/11/2008 M1.00 INCH APPLING GA EMERGENCY MNGR
DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR SELLERS ROAD AND
U S 1 6 MILES NORTH OF BAXLEY.
0245 PM TORNADO 6 ESE COUNTRY CLUB ESTA 31.18N 81.38W
05/11/2008 GLYNN GA TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO SIGHTED JUST NORTHWEST OF INTERSECTION OF SEA
ISLAND AND FREDERICA RD ON SEA ISLAND.
0245 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E COUNTRY CLUB ESTATE 31.20N 81.37W
05/11/2008 GLYNN GA EMERGENCY MNGR
GLYNN COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS ROAD CLOSED AT SEA
ISLAND ROAD AND FREDERICA ROAD. MOST OF THE DAMAGE IS IN
THE SEA PALMS RESORT AREA. NO REPORTED FATALITIES OR
INJURIES. POWER LINES ARE DOWN. SOME TREES ON HOMES.
STILL NOT SURE ABOUT MAGNITUDE OF THE DAMAGE.
0245 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E COUNTRY CLUB ESTATE 31.20N 81.37W
05/11/2008 GLYNN GA PUBLIC
HOMEOWNER IN THE SEA PALMS RESORT AREA HAS LARGE TREES
DOWN, ROOF DAMAGE AND WIRES AND GUTTERS DOWN. DAMAGE MAY
BE DUE TO POSSIBLE TORNADO.
0245 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE ST. SIMONS 31.22N 81.35W
05/11/2008 GLYNN GA AMATEUR RADIO
A HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE
ALONG FREDRICA ROAD AND PALM DRIVE ON ST. SIMONS ISLAND.
HOMES HAD ROOF DAMAGE AND CHIMNEYS WERE DOWN. THE TIME OF
DAMAGE WAS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR.
0253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE ORTEGA 30.24N 81.67W
05/11/2008 M49.00 MPH DUVAL FL AWOS
NAVAL AIR STATION JACKSONVILLE MEASURED A NON-CONVECTIVE
WIND GUST OF 49 MPH FROM THE WSW JUST BEFORE 3 PM EDT.
0256 PM HAIL 5 S DOUGLAS 31.43N 82.85W
05/11/2008 M0.88 INCH COFFEE GA TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED STORM SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL 5 MILES
SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ON HIGHWAY 441.
0300 PM HAIL 5 ENE BAXLEY 31.79N 82.27W
05/11/2008 E0.75 INCH APPLING GA EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL FROM BAXLEY
AND NORTHEAST ALONG THE 10 MILE HIGHWAY OUT TO 15 MILES
EAST NORTHEAST OF TOWN.
0300 PM HAIL 2 E DOUGLAS 31.51N 82.82W
05/11/2008 M1.00 INCH COFFEE GA CO-OP OBSERVER
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GENERAL COFFEE STATE PARK
BY CO-OP OBSERVER.
0340 PM HAIL GARDI 31.54N 81.80W
05/11/2008 E1.50 INCH WAYNE GA PUBLIC
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ARLINGTON 30.36N 81.51W
05/11/2008 DUVAL FL NWS EMPLOYEE
LARGE LIVE OAK FELL IN BACK YARD
0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE PATTERSON 31.37N 82.08W
05/11/2008 PIERCE GA AMATEUR RADIO
TREES DOWN ALONG STATE ROAD 32 SOUTHEAST OF PATTERSON.
0934 PM TSTM WND GST KINGS BAY BASE 30.79N 81.51W
05/11/2008 M60.00 MPH CAMDEN GA SHIP
A REPORT FROM AN OUTBOUND SHIP REGISTERED WINDS 50 TO 60
MILES AN HOUR FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.
&&
$$
PP
[Printable] [Older Versions] 000 ABNT20 KNHC 010302 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AS THE 2007 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON APPROACHES ITS CONCLUSION... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT WILL RESUME ON 1 JUNE 2008. SHOULD ANY SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES DEVELOP DURING THE OFF SEASON...SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WOULD BE ISSUED...AS NEEDED. SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WONT41 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAAT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 WTUS82 KJAX 022044 CCA HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-022100- TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 444 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007 ...RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... BARRY IS RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER... BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON... BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE..ECHOLS... GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... NO TROPICAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL AREA. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA BEACHES TROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST... VERY NEAR JACKSONVILLE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND ARE MAINLY OCCURRING OVER THE WATER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM IS NOW MOVING TROUGH SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE EVERYWHERE BY MIDNIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDE LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...WINDS... LAKE WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THESE IMPACTS ARE MOST LIKELY IN COASTAL GLYNN AND CAMDEN COUNTIES. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SUNDAY. ...INLAND FLOODING... PRELIMINARY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER THE AREA DURING THE PAST DAY OR SO. RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AND STREET AND URBAN FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE RAINFALL ENDS. ...TORNADOES... THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. ...MARINE... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF UP TO 13 FEET. PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST SCHEDULED STATEMENT ON BARRY UNLESS CONDITIONS WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/GHLS/HLS_MAIN.SHTML $$ SANDRIK [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 AXNT20 KNHC 120542 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W S OF 9N MOVING W 10-15 KT. VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WAVE. POSITION BASED ON SURFACE WINDS REMAINING NE AT CAYENNE FRENCH GUIANA WHICH INDICATES THAT WAVE IS STILL POSITIONED TO THE EAST. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE E CARIBBEAN ON TUE. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N12W 5N20W 2N30W 4N40W 4N48W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-2N BETWEEN 4W-11W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 26W-30W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 42W-44W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO DRIFT SE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. AS OF 03Z...THE FRONT ENTERS THE GULF NEAR 29N83W AND CONTINUES ALONG 27N90W TO SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER NEAR 25N97W. A VERY NARROW BAND OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS ARE ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN THE NE GULF. UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM EARLIER EVENING CONVECTION ACROSS INLAND MEXICO IS OVER THE W GULF FROM 23N-26N W OF 90W. THESE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE ROTATING AROUND A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE S BAY OF CAMPECHE. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE GULF AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE S GULF WATERS ON TUE. CARIBBEAN SEA... FRESH EASTERLY TRADE WINDS PERSIST ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALONG 76W FROM NEAR THE COLOMBIAN COAST TO 14N. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY IS BEING GENERATED BY A COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL WIND SPEED CONVERGENCE AND AN UPPER DIFFLUENT PATTERN. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS MOSTLY CLEAR UNDER STRONG SUBSIDENCE ON THE EAST SIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE S BAY OF CAMPECHE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN E OF 70W WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE W ATLC TO PUERTO RICO AND NW VENEZUELA. THIS IS PROVIDING ONLY SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA AND S WINDWARD ISLANDS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A DEEP-LAYERED UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS OVER OHIO WITH TROUGH AXIS ACROSS THE SE U.S. THIS IS SUPPORTING A SURFACE COLD FRONT WHICH ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N77W AND EXTENDS SW ACROSS N FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM E OF THE FRONT IN THE W ATLC N OF 30N. BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N50W SW TO THE N LEEWARD ISLANDS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT JUST CLIPS THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 30N BETWEEN 59W-65W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 30N. FARTHER EAST...TWO SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERS DOMINATE THE ATLC E OF 50W. THE STRONGEST BEING A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N29W AND A WEAKER HIGH CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA NEAR 36N33W. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH SPLITS THE HIGHS AND LIES FROM 31N27W 29N31W 27N37W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. THE E AND CENTRAL ATLC ARE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS FLOWING AROUND THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE. $$ HUFFMAN NO ADVISORIES FOUND
[Printable] [Older Versions] 000 ACUS01 KWNS 120531 SWODY1 SPC AC 120528 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1228 AM CDT MON MAY 12 2008 VALID 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... SLOWLY-PROGRESSIVE/AMPLIFYING UPPER PATTERN THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE A TROUGH/LOW SLOWLY VACATING THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION...WHILE A SECOND TROUGH EXPANDS/DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. AT THE SURFACE...LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE ERN UPPER FEATURE SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY...AND THEN ON EWD/SEWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. BY 13/12Z...THIS FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE DAKOTAS/MN BORDER REGION SSWWD ACROSS ERN NEB/CENTRAL KS AND INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. ...WRN NEB AND VICINITY... LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE -- AND THUS ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY -- IS FORECAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION. WHILE THIS WILL LIKELY LIMIT OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE...SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT SHOULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED/HIGH-BASED STORMS. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM DOWNDRAFT...BUT THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT. ...TX BIG BEND REGION... WHILE BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURN NWWD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF TX...CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD HINDER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. BY LATE AFTERNOON...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD FIRE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF TX/NRN MEXICO...AND AFFECT THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX. WHILE STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...HAIL OR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM. ..GOSS/JEWELL.. 05/12/2008 [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 ACUS02 KWNS 120605 SWODY2 SPC AC 120603 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0103 AM CDT MON MAY 12 2008 VALID 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY... ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER TROUGH...NOW OVER THE NWRN CONUS...WILL CONTINUE TO DIG SWD WITH UPPER LOW CENTER PROGGED TO BE OVER AZ TUE AFTERNOON. RAPID MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE UNDERWAY ACROSS THE PLAINS ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE TROUGH THAT WILL EXTEND ROUGHLY FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWD ACROSS CNTRL OK AND INTO NWRN TX AT MIDDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE NWWD ACROSS TX DURING THE DAYTIME AND OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO LOWERING PRESSURES ACROSS W TX OVERNIGHT...OR JUST AHEAD OF THE EJECTING UPPER TROUGH. THE RESULT WILL BE A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SEVERE...SOME SIGNIFICANT...FROM TX INTO MO. FARTHER N...A STRONG NRN STREAM TROUGH WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT WITH A SHARPENING SURFACE TROUGH. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY...A MORE LIMITED AND CONDITIONAL SEVERE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM. ...MO...OK...WRN AR...NRN TX... MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A LEAD LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS OK...SERN KS AND WRN MO DURING THE DAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD HELP MAINTAIN A 30-40 KT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET FROM TX INTO MO...RESULTING IN A RAPID RETURN OF MOISTURE AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID 60S AS FAR N AS SERN KS AND SWRN MO BY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THIS MAGNITUDE OF MOISTURE...AS WELL AS RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURE PROFILES ALOFT...LITTLE CAPPING WILL BE PRESENT IN THE WARM SECTOR. INDEED...MULTIPLE FORECAST MODELS GENERATE A LARGE AREA OF INTENSE PRECIPITATION BY AFTERNOON...FROM NERN TX ACROSS OK...WRN AR AND MO. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 40-50 KT ALONG WITH STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY GIVEN THE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND EXPECTED SUPERCELLULAR STORM MODE. LOW LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW TORNADOES GIVEN THE FAVORABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY PROFILES. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO RESPOND TO THE W TX LOW LATE IN THE DAY...THUS WEAKENING A BIT OVER OK/AR/MO. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LESS THAN OPTIMAL HODOGRAPHS FOR A TORNADO OUTBREAK...BUT A STRONG TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT SOMEWHERE FROM NE TX INTO SW MO DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY EVENING...STORMS MAY FORM INTO AN MCS ALONG AND/OR AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WITH A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT OVERNIGHT SEWD TOWARD THE MS RIVER. ...WRN AND N CNTRL TX OVERNIGHT... SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGHOUT THE DAY OVER TX...AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS TO THE W. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO W TX OVERNIGHT. AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE...AND THIS UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL SURGE NWD AFTER DARK WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET. ONGOING STORMS OVER OK AND NERN TX MAY BUILD SWWD ALONG THE COLD FRONT...BUT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THE DEEPER FRONTAL SURGE AS THE TROUGH MOVES OUT. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY AND TORNADOES MAY OCCUR AS WELL WITH ANY CELLULAR ACTIVITY AWAY FROM THE COLD FRONT. ...ERN IA...IL...WRN IN...LOWER MI LATE IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT... ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS PERSISTENT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET TRANSPORTS MOISTURE NWD AHEAD OF A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. VERY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL EXIST AND SEVERE HAIL WILL BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY FROM 00-06Z OVER ERN IA AND IL WHERE INSTABILITY LEVELS WILL BE GREATEST. FARTHER N AND CLOSER TO THE DEEPENING LOW...INSTABILITY WILL BE LESSER BUT GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING...SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ..JEWELL.. 05/12/2008 [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 ACUS03 KWNS 110732 SWODY3 SPC AC 110730 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008 VALID 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF NRN TX INTO OK/AR AND PORTIONS OF ERN KS AND WRN MO... ...SRN PLAINS TO MID MS VALLEY... EVOLUTION OF WRN U.S. TROUGH...THOUGH DIFFERENCES EXIST WITHIN MODELS...WILL DRAW MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS NWD OFF THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY REGION WITH UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70F LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR TUESDAY. ECMWF AND GFS ARE MORE SIMILAR HOLDING THE MAIN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE SWRN U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHILE NAM IS MORE PROGRESSIVE. EITHER SCENARIO WILL RESULT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF MO AND AR AS SLOWER MODELS STILL EJECT A SIGNIFICANT UPPER SPEED MAX/SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS TX/OK DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 50-60KT H5 FLOW AND LARGE SCALE BACKGROUND ASCENT WILL SUPPORT ROBUST THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG BOTH THE SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT...AND AHEAD OF DRYLINE. IT APPEARS STRONG HEATING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TX INTO SWRN OK WHICH WILL WEAKEN CAP AS SBCAPE VALUES RISE UPWARDS OF 3000 J/KG. NEEDLESS TO SAY MORE THAN ADEQUATE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. AFTERNOON/EVENING SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL...ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. WITH TIME THERE APPEARS TO BE A REASONABLE CHANCE FOR ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS TO EVOLVE FROM THE RED RIVER REGION INTO THE ARKLATEX AS ONE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS INTO THIS REGION. LATE IN THE PERIOD THERE MAY BE RENEWED DEVELOPMENT ALONG/NORTH OF TRAILING FRONTAL ZONE INTO PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TX. THIS IS PREDICATED ON A SLOWER UPPER LOW SOLUTION WHERE H8 FLOW MAY BE ABLE TO REFOCUS INTO WEST TX DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ..DARROW.. 05/11/2008 This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 ACUS11 KWNS 120235 SWOMCD SPC MCD 120234 NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-120330- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0899 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0934 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NC CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 309... VALID 120234Z - 120330Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 309 CONTINUES. THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS ERN NC WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. WW 310 AND WW 309 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z. A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER ONGOING IN ERN NC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD INTO THE PAMLICO SOUND LATE THIS EVENING. RUC DATA AND REGIONAL FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THIS AREA SHOW WEAK INSTABILITY WITH STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE OVER THE NEXT HOUR. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SEVERE THREAT TO BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL. ..BROYLES.. 05/12/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM... 33387870 33717919 33967927 34307904 33977863 34147850 34147836 34337814 34387818 34507815 34617818 34697816 35177814 35137785 35607780 35837735 36017740 36527714 36527693 36867687 37047668 36927649 36937628 37097630 37287620 37317600 37157594 37027550 36867567 36387549 35837518 35207520 34957530 34797585 34347635 34277656 34347691 34277720 33977764 33647774 33537786 33547820 33547838 33497857
[Printable] [Older Versions]
000
FNUS52 KJAX 111909
FWFJAX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA DUE TO LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE LOW RH VALUES...
.DISCUSSION...A STRONG LATE SEASON COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A SCATTERED OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
PRECEDING ITS PASSAGE. THERE IS A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH
THE EVENING WITH ANY STORMS THAT FORM. WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY WITH 20 TO 25 MPH AND
HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH QUITE COMMON. WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE
TONIGHT FOR A PERIOD OF TIME AND INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 8 AM MONDAY.
IN ADDITION...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES IN THE 20S ACROSS THE AREA. THE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
INTO MID WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND OR WARNINGS POSSIBLE.
GAZ132>135-149-121015-
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-ATKINSON-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 55 79 50 82
RH (%) 83 23 92 27
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 18 G28 N 8
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 16 NW 19 G30 NW 7 N 5
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600 4500 400 4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 NW 32 NW 8 E 9
DISPERSION INDEX 15 91 4 43
MAX LVORI 4 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
GAZ136-150>152-162>164-121015-
WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 56 81 50 83
RH (%) 79 22 94 26
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 16 G27 N 7
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 14 NW 17 G29 NW 7 NE 6 G15
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600 4800 400 5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 NW 32 NW 8 NE 10
DISPERSION INDEX 15 83 3 44
MAX LVORI 4 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
GAZ153-154-165-166-121015-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 57 80 52 80
RH (%) 77 24 93 32
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 18 G27 N 8 G17
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 17 NW 18 G29 NW 8 G17 NE 7 G17
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700 4800 400 5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 26 W 33 NW 12 N 12
DISPERSION INDEX 20 93 4 55
MAX LVORI 3 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-121015-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 56 82 50 86
RH (%) 92 21 91 23
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 14 G23 N 6
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 15 G19 NW 15 G25 NW 6 N 5
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600 4900 300 5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 NW 26 NW 7 N 8
DISPERSION INDEX 15 76 3 46
MAX LVORI 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
FLZ024-025-121015-
NASSAU-DUVAL-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 57 81 52 81
RH (%) 79 23 90 30
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 16 G26 N 8 G16
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 17 G21 W 16 G28 NW 8 G15 NE 7 G16
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700 5100 400 5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 23 W 31 NW 10 NE 12
DISPERSION INDEX 18 86 3 48
MAX LVORI 4 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
$$
FLZ032-037-121015-
CLAY-PUTNAM-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 59 83 52 84
RH (%) 89 20 90 27
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 14 G27 N 6
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 16 W 15 G30 W 6 NE 7
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700 5100 400 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 W 29 NW 7 NE 10
DISPERSION INDEX 16 80 3 50
MAX LVORI 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
$$
FLZ033-038-121015-
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 60 83 55 80
RH (%) 79 22 85 34
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 15 G28 N 8 G15
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 18 G22 W 15 G30 NW 8 NE 10 G16
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700 5200 400 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 23 W 29 NW 12 NE 14
DISPERSION INDEX 18 81 4 49
MAX LVORI 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
FLZ040-121015-
MARION-
309 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
TEMP 59 83 51 85
RH (%) 94 20 91 23
20FT WND MPH (AM) NW 13 G23 N 5
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 15 G19 W 14 G23 W 7 N 6
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600 4900 300 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 W 24 NW 7 N 9
DISPERSION INDEX 15 73 3 46
MAX LVORI 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MKT
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 WWUS82 KJAX 111915 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 315 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121000- /O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0062.080512T1600Z-080512T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KJAX.FW.W.0055.080512T1600Z-080512T2300Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 315 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION MONDAY FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PLUMMET TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT. IN ADDITION SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ024-025-032-037-121000- /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0063.080513T1800Z-080513T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0055.080512T1600Z-080512T2300Z/ NASSAU-DUVAL-CLAY-PUTNAM- 315 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION MONDAY FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PLUMMET TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR 5 TO 7 HOURS. IN ADDITION SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. ON TUESDAY MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 5 HOURS FOR AREAS WEST OF THE INTRACOASTAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-040-121000- /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0063.080513T1600Z-080513T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0055.080512T1600Z-080512T2300Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA- MARION- 315 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENINGFOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION MONDAY FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PLUMMET TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR 5 TO 7 HOURS. IN ADDITION SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. ON TUESDAY MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE DROP TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR 5 TO 7 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ033-038-121000- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0055.080512T1600Z-080512T2300Z/ ST JOHNS-FLAGLER- 315 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAYFOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS... DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION MONDAY FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PLUMMET TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR 5 TO 7 HOURS. IN ADDITION SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MKT [Printable] [Older Versions]
000
FNUS72 KJAX 111317
SMFJAX
NORTHEAST FLORIDA DISPERSION FORECAST UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-112000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY DUE TO
LOW RH AND WINDS...
TONIGHT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 16
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18
DISPERSION INDEX 15
MAX LVORI 5
$$
FLZ024-025-112000-
NASSAU-DUVAL-
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY DUE TO
LOW RH AND WINDS...
TONIGHT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 17 G21
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22
DISPERSION INDEX 16
MAX LVORI 4
$$
FLZ032-037-112000-
CLAY-PUTNAM-
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY DUE TO
LOW RH AND WINDS...
TONIGHT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 16
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18
DISPERSION INDEX 15
MAX LVORI 5
$$
FLZ033-038-112000-
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY DUE TO
LOW RH AND WINDS...
TONIGHT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 17 G21
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22
DISPERSION INDEX 18
MAX LVORI 4
$$
FLZ040-112000-
MARION-
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY DUE TO
LOW RH AND WINDS...
TONIGHT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY
20FT WND MPH (PM) W 16
MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18
DISPERSION INDEX 15
MAX LVORI 5
$$
[Printable] [Older Versions] 000 FZUS52 KJAX 120208 CWFJAX COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1008 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 60 NM AMZ400-121015- SYNOPSIS FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 60 NM- 1008 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 .SYNOPSIS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE WATERS MONDAY AND WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK. $$ AMZ450-452-454-121015- /O.CON.KJAX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-080512T2000Z/ ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- 1008 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .MONDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. .MONDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. .TUESDAY...NORTH WINDS 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. .TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. .WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .FRIDAY NIGHT...WEST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. $$ AMZ470-472-474-121015- /O.CON.KJAX.SC.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-080513T0900Z/ ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 1008 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .MONDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. .MONDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. .TUESDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. .TUESDAY NIGHT...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. .WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SOUTH WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .FRIDAY NIGHT...WEST WINDS 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. $$ PP [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 FZUS52 KJAX 110739 SRFJAX SURF ZONE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 339 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ154-166-111945- NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-COASTAL GLYNN-COASTAL CAMDEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FERNANDINA BEACH...JACKSONVILLE... ST AUGUSTINE...PALM COAST...BRUNSWICK...ST MARYS 339 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 RIP CURRENT OUTLOOK: LOW. RIP CURRENTS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND ARE LIKELY TO BE WEAK BUT MAY POSE A DANGER TO POOR SWIMMERS. HOWEVER...THEY ARE STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT IN THE VICINITY OF JETTIES...INLETS...AND PIERS. KNOW HOW TO SWIM AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. WIND: SOUTHWEST 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. SURF: BREAKERS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 FEET. WATER TEMPERATURE: MID 70S. UV INDEX: 10...IN THE VERY HIGH RANGE. OUTLOOK: A LOW RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY. $$ This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions]
000
FZUS72 KJAX 120203
MWSJAX
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1001 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
AMZ450-452-470-472-120400-
1001 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS
APPROACHING THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AND MOVING SOUTH
THROUGH MIDNIGHT...
AT 1001 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING STRONG WINDS... ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
54 NM EAST OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO DUNGENESS...MOVING SOUTH AT 26 KNOTS.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW 1 NM AT TIMES. YOUR BEST COURSE OF
ACTION IS TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR...BUT IF YOU ARE CAUGHT ON THE OPEN
WATER...STAY BELOW DECK AND AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS.
REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
LAT...LON 3090 8031 3072 8041 3063 8041 3025 8032
2991 8021 2993 8131 3030 8142 3041 8142
3050 8146 3066 8145 3071 8154 3078 8152
3113 8027
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 347DEG 26KT 3103 8028 3071 8145
$$
HESS
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions]
000
WHUS52 KJAX 120109
SMWJAX
AMZ450-470-120200-
/O.NEW.KJAX.MA.W.0042.080512T0106Z-080512T0200Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
909 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60
NM OVER ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
OVER ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS...
* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
* AT 908 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 50 KNOTS OR
GREATER 8 NM WEST OF CUMBERLAND ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 40 KNOTS.
ANOTHER LINE OF STRONG STORMS WERE NEAR AND NORTHEAST OF ST SIMONS
ISLAND MOVING EAST AT 40 KNOTS.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 50 KNOTS...HIGH WAVES...
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS. THESE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE
WATER SPOUTS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD OR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.
LAT...LON 3114 8034 3111 8034 3059 8061 3071 8154
3075 8153 3080 8154 3089 8148 3091 8148
3129 8127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 284DEG 39KT 3078 8149
$$
PETERSON
This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 WHUS42 KJAX 171827 CFWJAX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 227 PM EDT THU APR 17 2008 FLZ033-038-180000- /O.CON.KJAX.CF.S.0004.000000T0000Z-080418T0000Z/ ST JOHNS-FLAGLER- 227 PM EDT THU APR 17 2008 ...ROUGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION THROUGH THIS EVENING... ..HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING... SURF BREAKERS IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE ROUGH SURF...THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE HIGH. STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. FINALLY...THE NORTHEAST DIRECTED WAVES AND SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION FOR AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT EROSION THIS PAST YEAR. THE EROSION CONCERNS WILL BE MAXIMIZED NEAR AND AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE WHICH IS LISTED BELOW. NEXT HIGH TIDE AT SAINT AUGUSTINE IS 743 THIS EVENING. $$
[Printable] [Older Versions] 000 FGUS52 KALR 111404 RVFJAX RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER ATLANTA GA FORECASTS INCLUDE FUTURE RAINFALL IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS 1000 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008 : : FORECAST ISSUED BY GA- ALTAMAHA FORECASTER : :************************************************************************* :BAXLEY - Altamaha River :FLOOD STAGE 74.5 ACTION STAGE 72.5 : :LATEST STAGE 64.45 FT AT 945 AM EDT ON 0511 .ER BAXG1 0511 E DC200805111000/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :24HR QPF APPLIED 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :0511: / 64.5/ 64.5/ 64.4 .E2 :0512: / 64.4/ 64.4/ 64.4/ 64.5 .E3 :0513: / 64.6/ 64.8/ 64.8/ 64.9 .E4 :0514: / 64.9/ 64.9/ 65.0/ 65.0 .E5 :0515: / 65.1/ 65.1/ 65.2/ 65.3 .E6 :0516: / 65.3 :6HR QPF VALUES 0.38/0.02/0.00/0.00 :************************************************************************* :DOCTORTOWN - Altamaha River :FLOOD STAGE 14.0 ACTION STAGE 12.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.60 FT AT 900 AM EDT ON 0511 .ER DCTG1 0511 E DC200805111000/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :24HR QPF APPLIED 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :0511: / 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.5 .E2 :0512: / 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E3 :0513: / 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.5 .E4 :0514: / 4.6/ 4.7/ 4.8/ 4.9 .E5 :0515: / 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.0 .E6 :0516: / 5.0 :6HR QPF VALUES 0.38/0.03/0.00/0.00 :************************************************************************* :WAYCROSS - Satilla River :FLOOD STAGE 16.0 ACTION STAGE 14.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.93 FT AT 730 AM EDT ON 0511 .ER AYSG1 0511 E DC200805111000/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :24HR QPF APPLIED 8AM 2PM 8PM 2AM .E1 :0511: / 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0 .E2 :0512: / 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.1/ 5.2 .E3 :0513: / 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3 .E4 :0514: / 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3 .E5 :0515: / 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3 .E6 :0516: / 5.3 :6HR QPF VALUES 0.26/0.03/0.00/0.00 :*********************************************************************** :COMMENT : : : .AR ALR 0511 E Dt200805111000/YIDRZ 6: ja : :...END OF MESSAGE... This is not a regularly issued product. Please check the issuance and valid times. [Printable] [Older Versions] 000 FGUS72 KJAX 111723 CCA ESFJAX FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-047-083-089-107-109-121-125- GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-069-101-127-161-229-299-305-061000- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 123 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008 ...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOOD CONDITIONS WILL BE NORMAL THIS SPRING. ...EXISTING CONDITIONS... RAINFALL - PRECIPITATION FOR THE WATER YEAR BEGINNING 1 OCT 2007 HAS RANGED AROUND 75 TO 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WATER YEAR WITH AMOUNTS AROUND 15 TO 20 INCHES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH SOME LOCATIONS NEAR 25 TO 30 INCHES. SOIL MOISTURE - SURFACE MOISTURE IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NEAR NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA. FORECASTS INDICATE AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH MID MARCH. A MARKED INCREASE IN SOIL MOISTURE IS FORECAST ACROSS THE SUWANNEE RIVER BASIN OF NORTH FLORIDA AND THE ALAPAHA RIVER OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. GROUND WATER CONDITIONS - GROUND WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN EXTREMELY LOW...BUT THEY ARE BEGINNING TO RECHARGE OVER THE SUWANNEE RIVER AND ST. JOHNS RIVER IN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BASINS DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS. RIVER FLOWS - RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS COMBINED WITH LOWER TEMPERATURES AND REDUCED EVAPOTRANSPIRATION HAVE LIMITED THE LOSS OF GROUNDWATER. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE RESPONSIVE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND HAVE GOOD BASEFLOW SUPPORT FROM GROUND WATER EVEN IN THE RELATIVELY DRIER AREAS. MOST RIVERS IN THE AREA HAVE RECOVERED FROM THE EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS OF LAST SUMMER AND SEVERAL HAVE EXCEEDED BANKFULL IN RESPONSE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS. ...METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK... IT IS COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR FRONTS TO BEGIN TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA OR EVEN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND COLD AIR FROM THE NORTH DECREASE IN STRENGTH. AS THESE BOUNDARIES STALL...THEY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION. STRONG TO MODERATE LA NINA CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE SPRING WHICH CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVOR LESS FRONTS THROUGH OUR AREA AND THEREFORE LESS PRECIPITATION. ...LONG TERM OUTLOOK... THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS FORECASTING A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL THROUGH THE SPRING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REGION. THIS FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS STRONG TO MODERATE LA NINA CYCLES. ...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK... MOST RIVER FLOODING OCCURS FROM MID TO LATE JANUARY THROUGH MARCH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REGION. THERE IS A STEADY DROP OFF FROM APRIL INTO MAY. THIS FLOOD PERIOD COINCIDES WHEN HIGHER-INTENSITY RAINFALL EVENTS OVERLAP WITH THE TIME THAT MOST VEGETATION IS DORMANT. THIS COMBINATION RESULTS IN EFFICIENT CONDITIONS FOR RUNOFF...THEREBY PRODUCING HIGHER VOLUME STREAM FLOW AND ENHANCED FLOOD POTENTIAL. THERE IS A SECONDARY FLOOD PERIOD ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUMMER AND FALL TROPICAL SEASONS ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS PERIOD...HOWEVER...DOES NOT PRODUCE THE CONSISTENT FLOODING NORMALLY OBSERVED DURING THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING FLOOD PERIOD. INFORMATION USED TO COMPLETE THIS FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WAS PROVIDED COURTESY OF THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT. FOR MORE SPECIFIC HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA...PLEASE VISIT THE FOLLOWING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITES: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAX WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC $$ ENYEDI/MCALLISTER/KERNS/LANIER 
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