Introduction
Southeast Florida is characterized by two predominant seasons-- summer
and winter. The summer season is characterized by warm, humid conditions
with frequent showers and thunderstorms. The winter season has cooler
temperatures, lower humidities and less frequent precipitation. The two
missing seasons-- autumn and spring-- are included in the winter season
because these two transition periods are drier and cooler than the summer
season.
Each year the starting and ending of the summer season is a topic of
interest in southeast Florida. The rains which help to signal the beginning
of the summer season and put an end to the late winter dryness, and the
all-too-frequent water-use restrictions, are always welcomed. Then when
the day-after-day high temperatures and humidities of the summer have
lasted for what seems to be an eternity, the first period of lower
humidities and slightly cooler temperatures are greatly anticipated by
all.
To my knowledge, no one has ever investigated the climatological
records to determine the beginning and ending dates of this important
annual climatological event.
Data
The focus of the investigation was southeast Florida. Monthly
climatological records for Miami International Airport Weather Service
Meteorological Observatory were available for the period 1956 through
1997. These Monthly Climatological Data Monthly Summary (LCD) sheets
for Miami International Airport were the sole data base of this study.
Definition of Summer Season
As stated above, the summer season is characterized by warm tempera-
tures. Daily Maxima average in the upper 80s. but more significantly, the
daily minima average in the middle 70s. Low temperatures rarely lower
below the 70 degree level during the summer months. in addition to warm
temperatures, high humidities prevail throughout the summer. The dew-point
temperature is the best measure of moisture levels in Florida. During the
summer period, the dew-point temperature remains in the lower to middle
70s. In addition, convection in the form of showers and thunderstorms is
almost a daily occurrence during the summer. In an easterly wind regime,
the precipitation occurs as late night and morning showers or thunderstorms
over the coastal areas, and afternoon thunderstorms over the interior
sections. In a westerly wind regime, afternoon thunderstorms affect
interior and coastal areas alike. In light wind conditions, afternoon
thunderstorms again develop over southeast Florida and affect most areas.
Overall, the best indicators of summer season in southeast Florida are
dew-point temperatures and minimum temperatures remaining in the 70s,
and frequent daily rainfall.
Methods of Determination
Each year from 1956 through October 1997, the monthly climatological
sheets for Miami for the months April, May, and June were examined for the
beginning date.. and September, October and November were examined for the
ending date of the summer season. The three meteorological parameters--
daily minimum temperatures, daily average dew-point temperature, and
24-hour precipitation amounts-- were examined to establish the beginning
and ending dates of the summer season for each year. These data were
available on the LCDs for Miami beginning in 1965. From 1956 through 1965,
only daily minimum temperatures and 24-hour precipitaion amounts were
available.
For the more recent 33 years (1965-1997) when all three parameters
were available, they were used in the following manner to determine the
beginning of the summer season. The average daily dew point temperature
was first examined to determine when it rose above and remained above 70oF.
Of course, from this time on, the daily minimum temperatures remained above
the 70oF level. The date when this took place was designated as
the beginning of the summer season. In nearly all years, the summer rains
began on or soon after that date.
For that same period of time, the end of the summer season and the
beginning of the winter season was determined in like manner. The average
dew point temperature was first examined to detrmine the date when it fisrt
fell below 70oF. Many times this was very noticeable with a drop
in dew point temperature to at least the lower 60s. This coincided with the
daily minimum temperature dropping below 70oF for the first time
since the beginning of the summer season. A sharp decrease in the frequency
of daily rainfall was also observed with the temperature and humidity change.
However, on occasion, the apparent end of the daily rainfall became masked
by a period of rainfall occurring in northeasterly low level winds to the
north of a stalled front south of the Florida peninsula. The end of the
summer season in these cases was related to the dew point temperature and
minimum temperature changes.
Prior to 1965, only the daily minimum temperature and 24-hour
precipitation amounts were available. For determining the beginning (or
ending) of the summer season, more weight was placed on the minimum
temperatures remaining above (or below) 70oF than on the occurrence of
precipitation. Most often, the beginning (ending) of the rains occurred
on or just a few days after (before) the date when the minimum temperatures
ceased to fall (fell) below 70oF. This was also true in the later
years of the study.
Facts Revealed
During the 42 complete years, the earliest date for the
beginning of the summer season was April 16 and the latest was June 3. This is
a variation of 49 days. the median date for the onset of the summer season
during these 42 years was May 21st.
The earliest date that the summer season ended was September 24, and
the latest was November 1. This is a range of 39 days. The median date for
the end of the summer season was October 17.
Based on these dates the average duration of the summer season was 152
days, or just less than 5 months. The shortest summer season was only
118 days in 1983 which was the year that had the earliest ending date. The
longest summer season was 195 days which occurred in 1995.
Precipitation totals during these established summer seasons ranged
from the least amount of 24.75 inches in 1987 to the greatest amount of
74.85 inches in 1968. The average amount was 40.86 inches.
These summer season precipitation totals were compared to the anaual
rain amounts each year to arrive at the precentage of the annual precipitation
total that occurred during the summer season. On the average, 69% of the
annual precipitation totals occurred during the summer season which average
slightly less than 5 months.
Conclusion
A study of climatological records from Miami International Airport
was made for the years 1956 through 1997 to determine the beginning and ending
dates of the summer season in southeast Florida. While in real-time it is
frequently difficult to know exactly when the summer season begins or ends,
looking back at climatological records makes the determination much easier.
Three meteorological parameters found in the LCD-- average daily dew
point temperature, daily minimum temperature, and 24-hour rainfall amounts--
were subjectively examined to determine the beginning and ending dates of
the summer season in southeast Florida. The median date of the beginning
was found to be May 21st, and October 17th for the ending of the summer
season. The average summer season had a duration of 152 days producing 69%
of the annual precipitation at Miami International Airport.