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Florida 2002- 2003 Dry Season Storm Tracking

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Disclaimer:
Please note that the Storm Data included in the summaries is preliminary.
Complete records are kept at The Storm Events Database at NCDC and is updated when the data becomes available to NCDC.
The data is updated on a monthly basis and is usually 90-120 days behind the current month.

02_03_Storm1

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 1
November 15-18, 2002
The first storm of the 02-03 dry season announced the start of a potentially very active season. Lasting from 15 November to 18 November with the day of biggest impact on the 16th, the storm is classified as a Gulf Low with a Southern Jet (for more information about our storm classification see the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations American Meteorological Society 83rd Annual Meeting paper). NCEP's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC)  surface maps (7 A.M. EST) show a 1004 mb low over the Florida Big Bend., map animations from the Climate Prediction Center (7 P.M. EST) illustrate the evolution of the low.  The lowest average pressure recorded over the Florida grid was 1010.75mb.
Locally there was a storm report of a microburst over Sam's Club in West Melbourne. South of Tampa Bay reported rain up to 10 inches and some local flooding. To the North, NWS Jacksonville put out a Significant Weather Alert for Strong Thunderstorms with Gusty Winds of 45 to 55 MPH.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm2

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 2
November 20-23, 2002
The second storm of the season was considerably weaker than the first with a pressure recorded over the Florida grid of only 1012.36mb. While there was a very strong subtropical Gulf Jet over Florida typical of El Nino conditions, limited low level moisture was available to  the broad developing low pressure center over Florida and it did not develop significantly until it moved up the Atlantic Seaboard and joined with a second low bringing significant precipitation to the Ohio Valley and the Northeast (see CPC animations and  HPC daily map analyses).  The storm was classified for Florida as a southern low with associated Gulf of Mexico jet stream)

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm3

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 3
December 12-15, 2002
While the pressure with the developing Gulf low over the state of Florida didn't reach very low (average 1012.46mb), because of a classic strong El Nino season subtropical Gulf jet overhead and a good feed of tropical moisture there was excessive rainfall and isolated severe weather associated with Storm  3. Both HPC surface maps and CPC animations indicate the storm was a Gulf Low with a Gulf Jet.  With the jet coming out of the Gulf and right over Florida, these conditions are prime for severe weather and heavy rainfall. NWS Melbourne issued several severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings for this storm. Around noon there was a tornado touch down in Wabasso Florida.  Of note was that this was the only severe weather reported in the Nation on this day as  recorded at the Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma.  Severe weather was limited due to the unidirectional nature of the low level flow and marginal instability.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 4
December 23-26, 2002
This storm was classified as a southern low with southern jet combination as indicated in the CPC animations and the HPC surface maps. Also, the HPC Surface Maps show a cold front passage on the 25th. 20 tornado reports and 45 wind damage reports in Alabama, Georgia, and North Florida are associated with the passage of the low. The lowest pressure over the Florida grid was 1012.4mb on the 25th. Storm 3 and 4 were largely responsible for making December one of the wettest on record in central Florida.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 5
December 30-January 04, 2003
This storm was classified  as a southern low with a moderate strength Gulf subtropical jet using the CPC animations and HPC surface mapsNo reports of severe weather were  associated with this storm. However heavy rainfall of over 4 inches of rain in some areas of central Florida  fell on the new year. The lowest pressure recorded over the Florida grid was 1011.4mb on the 1st.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 6
February 20-24, 2003
Storm 6 brought the pressure over the Florida grid down to 1006.17mb on the 22nd and was classified as a southern low with Gulf jet using CPC animations and HPC surface maps. However, the Gulf Jet over Florida was moderate and Florida itself didn't have a whole lot of severe activity. The rest of the East Coast wasn't so lucky. There were 3 Tornado reports, 123 wind damage reports, and 33 large hail reports stretching from North Florida to West Virginia. This storm dropped precipitation up to about 2 inches in some areas of the East Coast.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 7
February 25-March 01, 2003
Both HPC maps and CPC animations confirm that Storm 7 can be classified as a Gulf Low with a Southern jet. The lowest pressure over the Florida grid was 1011.33. A few hail reports were associated with this storm. The first on Feb 26 in Madison county Mississippi and the second on Feb 28 in Jackson county Florida. There were other storm reports of damaging wind and hail on March 01 associated with the transition from storm 7 into storm 8. Daytona Beach, FL  received Record Rainfall on Feb 28.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 8
March 01-03, 2003
Close examination of HPC maps and CPC animations reveal that this storm develops from a low pressure trough in the Gulf of Mexico with a strong southern track subtropical jet stream. The overall pressure over the Florida barely reached minimum storm criteria with 1012.41mb. No storm reports were received with this storm other than on the March 01 transition from Storm 7 to Storm 8. A new record for daily rainfall of 1.48 inches was recorded at Daytona on Mar 03.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 9
March 15-22, 2003
This storm was classified as a Southern Storm with Southern Jet using the CPC animations and HPC maps . The lowest pressure over the Florida grid was 1003.53mb on the 18th - the lowest recorded of the dry season. This storm came from the Great Plains area down to Texas moving east into Arkansas before moving up to the Great Lakes area. This  storm affected a large area (18th, 19th, 20th) including Florida. A Storm survey was done for Tornadoes that touched down in NWS Tallahassee's area. In NWS Melbourne's area a Storm Survey was done on possible Tornado damage. Overall, not much rainfall over Florida came with this storm (with a max of about .59 inches in some areas).

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm4

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 10
March 26-29, 2003
This storm was classified as  a Gulf low with a weak Gulf jet that is later enhanced by a strong southern jet after the storm passes Florida. The HPC surface maps as well as the CPC animations provide a good depiction of Florida inside the warm sector of the low. This storm turned out to be the most significant severe weather producer of the season in Florida. The lowest pressure over the Florida grid was 1010.15mb on the 27th which was the big weather day for Florida. There were 9 Tornado reports, 10 wind damage reports, and 18 hail reports all along the west coast and south Florida. There was a Fatality reported with one of the Tornadoes in Miami-Dade County and at least 6 tornadoes reported in the NWS Miami area. Rainfall amounts over Florida on the 28th and the 27th were relatively light.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

02_03_Storm11

2002-2003 Florida Dry Season Storm 11
April 24-28, 2003
After almost a month of no storm activity a northern storm with associated Gulf jet put Florida in the warm sector of the passing low and pulled down a cold front far enough south to affect Florida. The day of greatest activity was on the 25th with several large hail reports along the east coast, a few tornadoes in north Florida, and some wind damage. The lowest pressure was a day later at 1007.51mb on the 26th.

Click on map to see animation of the storm.

Return to Storminess Discussion

Florida region seasonal forecast development:  Bart Hagemeyer.
Storm descriptions and page production:  Rebecca Almeida.
Last updated: 07/21/2005


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