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EL NIÑO-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Florida Storminess And Severe Storms Educational Material

SELECT:

250 mb U Winds Graph

Graph of Daily MSLP and Storminess

Storminess Discussion:
The latest ENSO Discussion indicates that neutral ENSO conditions are  the most likely scenario during the upcoming dry season (November 1 - April 30).  Thus this initial dry season forecast is for near normal storminess for Florida (5 or 6 storms compared to the long-term average 6 major extratropical storms). As we get closer to the start of the dry season the climatic trends and forecasts will become clearer and the forecast will be refined as the summer progresses.

This discussion will be update by September 15th.

Remember to keep up to date on daily hazardous weather outlooks out to 7 days by reviewing the Hazardous Weather Outlook page for your area of Florida. The NWS Melbourne office produces a daily Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook for east central Florida in addition to the 7-day text product. For longer range outlooks the Climate Prediction Center provides a U.S. Hazards Assessment out to 2 weeks.

For a more in depth discussion on ENSO and its effects on Florida Storminess and Severe Storms check out our educational material on "EL NIÑO-Southern Oscillation and Florida Storminess" and on "EL NIÑO-Southern Oscillation and Florida Dry Season Tornadoes."

Major Dry Season Storms of 2008-2009
Weather Map Storm Reports Storm Surveys
     
     
     
     


Discussion last updated on 8/7/2008 by Bart Hagemeyer
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Related Links
CPC Winter Outlook CPC-NWS Suite of Official Forecasts CPC 500mb Height Anomalies CPC 200mb Height Anomalies CPC 3-day IR Temperature Animation NCEP 2-week 500mb Height Forecast Ensemble

Fronts day 3-7

 MJO Monitoring Arctic Oscillation North Atlantic Oscillation (CPC) Pacific-North American Oscillation NCEP Historical Analyses
  Storm Reports   UKMET NAO Outlook Daily Weather Maps CPC Storm Tracks
CDC 250mb Wind Animation CDC Sea Level Pressure Animation CDC 500mb Height Animation CDC 7-day Average of 250mb Winds CDC Outgoing Longwave Radiation NCEP 2-week MSLP Forecast Ensemble
 
 

National Weather Service
Melbourne Weather Forecast Office
421 Croton Road
Melbourne, FL 32935
321-255-0212
Web Master's E-mail: SR-MLB.Webmaster@noaa.gov
Date modified: August 7, 2008

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