000
FGUS72 KMLB 042042
ESFMLB
FLC009-061-069-085-093-095-097-111-117-127-052000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
420 PM EDT SAT SEP 4 2004

...RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...RIVER FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE
HARNEY...NEAR SANFORD...AND NEAR DELAND...

WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL RESULT AS HURRICANE FRANCES MOVES ASHORE
AND PRODUCES A BROAD SWATH OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. FOR THE MIDDLE
ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN...SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED...AND THE
RIVER IS FORECAST TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ABOVE LAKE HARNEY...NEAR
SANFORD...AND NEAR DELAND. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SLOW
RISE DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK...AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR
SEVERAL DAYS.

THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER
INDICATES THE ST. JOHNS RIVER ABOVE LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA WILL
EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING...AND MANY OTHER LOCATIONS ALONG THE
MIDDLE BASIN...INCLUDING NEAR SANFORD AND NEAR DELAND...WILL
EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING. THE EXTENT OF FLOODING COULD POSSIBLY
BECOME MAJOR NEAR LAKE HARNEY AND MODERATE NEAR DELAND AND SANFORD BY
LATER IN THE WEEK...DEPENDING ON THE EXTENT AND LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST RAINS AS FRANCES MOVES THROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...SMALL
STREAMS...RIVERS AND LAKES WILL LIKELY BECOME INUNDATED FROM THE
HEAVY RAINS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD
TAKE NECESSARY MEASURES TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH FRANCES. BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED. THE LATEST STAGE INFORMATION ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER CAN BE
ACCESSED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNES WEB SITE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB THEN CLICKING ON THE HEADER FOR RIVERS AND LAKES
AHPS IN THE LEFT COLUMN.

$$

GLITTO