000
AGUS72 KALR 071641
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1110 AM EST WED JAN 07 2009 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR FFC 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE BIG CREEK AND 
OCONEE RIVER BASINS: 

...MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES IN
NORTH GEORGIA...

MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE BIG CREEK NEAR 
ALPHARETTA THIS MORNING THOUGH LATEST OBSERVATIONS
INDICATING RIVER IS NEAR OR AT CREST. EXPECT A VERY 
SLOW RECESSION THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE BEGINNING
A STEADY FALL LATE TONIGHT.  ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS
TODAY SHOULD PROVIDE LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL RUNOFF
DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND MAKE FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS
IF NEEDED.

MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR 
PENFIELD.  WATER FROM THE NORTH AND MIDDLE OCONEE 
RIVERS SHOULD PROVIDE SUFFICIENT ROUTED WATER TO GET
THE OCONEE RIVER AT PENFIELD TO NEAR OR GO JUST ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
ADJUSTED RUNOFF TO PUSH RUNOFF VOLUME MORE INTO THE
FUTURE PER RAINFALL SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION BEING GREATER
IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE WATERSHEDS.  WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AND MAKE
FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS IF NEEDED.

JD

-------------------------------------------------
THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$