000 AGUS72 KALR 071620 HMDALR ALR HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA 1120 AM EST WED JAN 07 2009 ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR MEG JAN MOB BMX FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE TOMBIGBEE DRAINAGE: HEADWATERS CRESTING..FLOODWAVE MOVING THRU TOMBIGBEE GAGES WITHIN THE UPPER TOMBIGBEE ARE NEARING CREST LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MINOR ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED AT ABERDEEN LOCK AND COLUMBUS LOCK THIS AFTERNOON. A LARGE VOLUME OF WATER IS MOVING DOWN THE BUTTAHATCHEE RIVER AND THE ABERDEEN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING INTO SATURDAY. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE FORECAST ALONG THE TIBBEE CREEK (TIBBEE GAGE) AND THE NUXABEE RIVER (MACON GAGE) DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING. BEVILL LOCK IS EXPECTED TO CREST TONIGHT IN THE MINOR FLOOD CATEGORY AND THE MINOR FLOOD CREST AT HOWELL HEFLIN WILL FOLLOW ON THURSDAY AM. THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER HAS RESPONDED GREATLY TO YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAINFALL. LARGE VOLUMES OF WATER ARE MOVING DOWN THE LOCUST AND MULBERRY FORKS OF THE BLACK WARRIOR. GREATER THAN 40000 CFS IS BEING OBSERVED WITHIN THE MULBERRY FORK AND GREATER THAN 30000 WITHIN THE LOCUST FORK. THE POOL BEHIND LEWIS SMITH DAM CONTINUES TO RISE. THE POOL HAS CLIMBED 6 FEET SINCE TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER DOWNSTREAM THE BANKHEAD TAILWATER GAGE HAS HOVERED AROUND ITS LISTED 190 FLOOD LEVEL SINCE LAST EVENING AND MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING AT BOTH HOLT AND OLIVER LOCKS. WITH THE GREAT VOLUME OF WATER ROUTING THROUGH THE BLACK WARRIOR AN ADDITIONAL FOOT RISE AT THE OLIVER LOCK IS CURRENTLY FORECAST AND MODERATE FLOODING WOULD BE SEEN AS THIS LOCATION MOVES PAST 138 FEET. BY FRIDAY THIS WATER SHOULD BE MOVING PAST THE SELDON LOCK GAGE LOCATION. NEAR MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS NOW FORECAST. MODERATE FLOOD IS LISTED AT 102 FEET AT THE WARRIOR (SELDON) LOCK. BY THE WEEKEND THE FLOODWAVE SHOULD BE ARRIVING AT THE LOWER REACHES OF THE TOMBIBEE. NEAR MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THE DEMOPOLIS LOCK AND MINOR FLOODING AT COFFEEVILL AND LEROY GAGING SITES. ...SERFC... $$